# Predicting 2025 By:: [[Ross Jackson]] 2024-12-20 At the end of the year, it is not uncommon for people to reflect on the past, present, and future. People attempt to make sense of things and figure out what, if anything, they can do to make improvements. A solid prediction for 2025 is that “a person of great arrogance will inflict suffering on the innocent.” Like all good fortunes, this is specific enough to gain attention but vague enough so that almost anything can be read into it retrospectively. Rest assured, this will occur in 2025. However, such a fortune is like the prediction attributed to Nikita Khruschev that after a nuclear war, “the living will envy the dead.” Again, it is most probably accurate. Such predications are nothing more than parlor tricks. It certainly isn’t the type of forecasting in which analysts typically engage. The point of analysis isn’t to predict the future in some ominous way. If it was, Nostradamus should be the patron saint of analysis instead of Saint Thomas Aquinas. The purpose of the analysis is to understand how likely various alternatives are and to devise a course of action that allows an organization to navigate uncertainty with responsively adaptive coherence. Bad things will happen. This will receive a great deal of attention. Amazingly good things will happen. Almost no attention will be given to these things. People will muddle their way through the joy and chaos of 2025 just as they have every other year since the beginning of mankind. Rather than trying to predict an unknowable future, organizations will benefit from focusing on what they want and how they can accomplish those things no matter what happens. For those who do, I predict that 2025 will be a year filled with a sense of accomplishment. #### Related Items [[Forecasting]] [[Analytics]] [[Organization]] [[Strategy]] [[Politics]] [[Accuracy]]